Key Takeaways
According to CoinGlass , trading volumes for Cardano (ADA) derivatives have surged by 28.9% in the last 24 hours, with perpetual futures for the ADA token reaching $362.30 million.
Additionally, CoinMarketCap reports that ADA’s spot market trading across all exchanges totaled $306.29 million. Consequently, Cardano’s combined trading volume on both spot and derivatives markets amounted to $668 million over the past day.
Meanwhile, ADA’s price has been stuck in a horizontal range between $0.42 and $0.50 from April 14, after a 50% drop. With these things in mind, are we ready to see this consolidation ending on a breakout?
Cardano’s volume rose from May 24, and its price declined, creating a divergence that could, in this case, be interpreted as bullish. This implies that trading activity has been higher even though ADA returned to its zone’s support and hints at a potential bounce.
This is also the case with Open Interest, which was on a steady uprise from May 24, coming from a low of $244 million to $280 million today, June 5.
Open Interest is the number of outstanding contracts for a derivative, and an increasing number means that traders are opening their positions more frequently, assuming incoming volatility.
Cardano‘s price has been downward since reaching a high of $0.80 on March 14. It briefly fell to $0.40 on April 13 before rebounding to above $0.44, and then it ascended to $0.53 by April 23, meeting resistance at a descending trendline originating from the March peak.
Following this resistance encounter, the price dipped again to test the $0.42 level for support and has since recovered slightly. These movements established the horizontal zone between $0.42 and $0.51 above the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
ADA is currently trading around $0.45, close to its horizontal support. With the RSI on the daily chart at its mid-point, there is potential in both directions. However, the prevailing trend might continue downwards if selling pressure mounts and the price drops below $0.40.
On the other hand, the daily chart MACD is positive, having crossed its moving averages to the upside on May 31. Although the oscillator bars are small, they are green, meaning we could see an uptrend developing.
There are still no major signs of a potential breakout. But considering that ADA fell by over 50% from its peak, held above 0.618 Fibonacci, and established a horizontal zone, we could anticipate the start of a new upward advancement.
If the price escapes this zone, we could see a larger move that could bring the ADA to a new yearly high of $1.